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Climate change is a religious belief

Originally Posted by go_slow;845112 Meanwhile new scientist reports that the world climate could cool - [url=http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17742-worlds-climate-could-cool-first-warm-later.html World's climate could cool first, warm later - environment ...


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View Poll Results: You position on climate change
CLimate change is real and anyone who does not beleive is a heretic 1 5.26%
I think climate change is a real but not to the point of religious zeal 5 26.32%
I'm almost convinced on climate change is real but have some doubts 2 10.53%
I'm almost convinced that climate change is not real but have some doubts 0 0%
There is no such thing as climate change, its the earths natural rhythm 10 52.63%
Bangers and mash for me tea, I can't wait 1 5.26%
Voters: 19. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 24-09-09, 17:40   #76
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Default Re: Climate change is a religious belief

Quote:
Originally Posted by go_slow;845112
Meanwhile new scientist reports that the world climate could cool - [url=http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17742-worlds-climate-could-cool-first-warm-later.html
World's climate could cool first, warm later - environment - 04 September 2009 - New Scientist[/url] - so the last laugh could be with those who questioned the basis of the prediction on climate change and global warming.
"last laugh" - are you sure? The Latif paper says

El Nino in a changing climate : Abstract : Nature
Quote:
Using calculations based on historical El Niño indices, we find that projections of anthropogenic climate change are associated with an increased frequency of the CP-El Niño compared to the EP-El Niño. When restricted to the six climate models with the best representation of the twentieth-century ratio of CP-El Niño to EP-El Niño, the occurrence ratio of CP-El Niño/EP-El Niño is projected to increase as much as five times under global warming.
Looks to me like they're saying that man made causes of climate change are having a significant affect.

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Old 24-09-09, 17:57   #77
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Default Re: Climate change is a religious belief

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Originally Posted by Kyot View Post
"last laugh" - are you sure? The Latif paper says

El Nino in a changing climate : Abstract : Nature

Looks to me like they're saying that man made causes of climate change are having a significant affect.
At the beginning of that article
Quote:
Originally Posted by nature
El Niño events, characterized by anomalous warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, have global climatic teleconnections and are the most dominant feature of cyclic climate variability on subdecadal timescales.
Why is the characteristic 'anomalous warming'.

Gives me the strong impression that there are too many bits of the puzzle missing to support the stance.

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Old 25-09-09, 01:44   #78
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On sea level change. If temperatures rise and Greenland etc melt, there will be a dramatic increase in the atmosphere's ability to hold water, so the sea may rise but I doubt that would be 1 foot over the whole globe, there just isn't enough volume of ice to do that.
.
That's very interesting. Would you share your calculations, that reinsure you about the lack of 1 foot change worldwide?
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Old 25-09-09, 03:14   #79
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That's very interesting. Would you share your calculations, that reinsure you about the lack of 1 foot change worldwide?
Give me a coherent set of figures to start from, all the ones so far have been either irrational or disputed.

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Old 27-09-09, 23:56   #80
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Default Re: Climate change is a religious belief

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Originally Posted by RiceBurner View Post
I suppose it does prompt the question that if you errr, accept the publised information about something like "climate change", what are you doing, other than "believing" it??

Or is there a difference in "believing something that could be factual", and "believing IN something that could be factual".

Surely "belief", in a religious sense, is another way of describing "faith", which could be defined as "accepting something you can't prove". Whereas something based on scientific research is most definitely something that CAN be proven, which therefore means you can't have "faith" in climate change, which means you can't "believe" in it either.



You either accept it as scientific fact, or you don't, it's not a "belief".
That is the quandary created by the junk science methodology government researchers tend to use.

The problem is that it IS faith, because real scientists do NOT believe in some specific "consensus" at all.

Actual scientists are fallibilist. This means they stipulate, at all times, that all knowledge they have is only a best guess. No actual scientist would say "the earth is definitely warming because of humans, and definitely will continue to get warmer if we don't do something about it".

The rules of science don't allow for this kind of ridiculous statement, which is in fact one of faith, not fact.
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Old 28-09-09, 00:28   #81
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Default Re: Climate change is a religious belief

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Originally Posted by protoborg View Post
On sea level change. If temperatures rise and Greenland etc melt, there will be a dramatic increase in the atmosphere's ability to hold water, so the sea may rise but I doubt that would be 1 foot over the whole globe, there just isn't enough volume of ice to do that.
I did the math for that, once, and it's not enough to compensate for the ostensible melting of the land-locked ice.

More important is the fact that warming would cause increased precipitation. In fact, it has been credibly proposed that warming trends may cause the "ice ages", as the greater amount of accumulating ice produced by warming can't be melted fast enough even by the warmer temperatures.

So, in fact, the sea levels may not rise even with warming...it's just more supposition on the part of people who purport to be scientists, yet state speculation as if it were fact.

There are SO many factors, that we don't have the slightest idea what the effects would actually be, if we ever had actual, significant warming.

Quote:
Food production. Government policy is a bigger issue. When Dubya went for the bio diesel corn all round the world maize prices went up. Vast numbers of Africans can no longer afford enough corn. And as an energy source sugar cane out does corn by something like 400x per unit land.

Migration is a rich/poor issue, always has been.
Don't forget that biofuels have a bigger carbon footprint than "fossil" fuels.

Oh, and that oil may well not be a fossil fuel, anyway...there is accumulating evidence that oil is produced: Fossils From Animals And Plants Are Not Necessary For Crude Oil And Natural Gas, Swedish Researchers Find

So yet another reason why government coercion to make things "better" is always a bad idea...what is obviously right, may well actually be wrong.
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Old 28-09-09, 00:34   #82
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Default Re: Climate change is a religious belief

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Originally Posted by Kyot View Post
"last laugh" - are you sure? The Latif paper says

El Nino in a changing climate : Abstract : Nature

Looks to me like they're saying that man made causes of climate change are having a significant affect.
Of course they are, they're money-grubbing pseudoscientists.

They will go to their graves denying they were wrong, like Columbus dying convinced he'd colonized India.

As the evidence of the cooling trend is mounting, they are scrambling to come up with ways to say this changes nothing. The hot trend right now is "the natural cycle is cooling, and this will temporarily offset the man-made warming, but then warming will resume later on...so we still need you to give us money and pass more laws"
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Old 28-09-09, 07:22   #83
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Originally Posted by kazvorpal View Post
Of course they are, they're money-grubbing pseudoscientists.
Just as a matter of interest, what type of scientist are you? These people seem to get their stuff peer reviewed and into periodicals like Nature and so on, where's your peer reviewed publications?

Or are you a journalist?

Oh, I forgot to add, there's an Introductions section on this website so you can tell us about yourself and what motorbikes you own, welcome in
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Old 28-09-09, 09:11   #84
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Originally Posted by demographic View Post
Just as a matter of interest, what type of scientist are you? These people seem to get their stuff peer reviewed and into periodicals like Nature and so on, where's your peer reviewed publications?

Or are you a journalist?
A money grabbing consultant: Climate change is a religious belief
No response to that post, above.

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Old 28-09-09, 15:36   #85
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China? Commies? Really?
Then shortly afterwards they start telling us how bad our NHS is despite never having seen it in action (not that its perfect mind, there's always ways it could be better).
It doesn't take a "they", all anyone has to do to learn about your socialized, coercively imposed health care system is to follow your own media. As with Canada, it seems like all the positive hype about those two failed systems comes from outside the country, while in each case most of the non-government coverage within the country is about the positively sociopathic disaster that everyone is forced to suffer.
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Old 28-09-09, 15:47   #86
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Originally Posted by kazvorpal View Post
the positively sociopathic disaster that everyone is forced to suffer.
Bizarre!
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Old 28-09-09, 16:14   #87
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Originally Posted by kazvorpal View Post
It doesn't take a "they", all anyone has to do to learn about your socialized, coercively imposed health care system is to follow your own media. As with Canada, it seems like all the positive hype about those two failed systems comes from outside the country, while in each case most of the non-government coverage within the country is about the positively sociopathic disaster that everyone is forced to suffer.
Speaking from personal experience I'd far rather have this health care system than yours. "Our" media, you mean like the stuff owned by Rupert Murdoch? We may have special claim to various failures but our medical system isn't one, ask any of the millions at the bottom of the heap over here and over there.

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Old 28-09-09, 16:40   #88
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Originally Posted by demographic View Post
Just as a matter of interest, what type of scientist are you? These people seem to get their stuff peer reviewed and into periodicals like Nature and so on, where's your peer reviewed publications?
As has been noted on here by some of the argumentum ad hominem team, I'm a consultant, not employed as a scientist. Which makes my greater knowledge of scientific methodology that much more embarrassing for the pseudoscientists.

And I've already noted that peer review is no more a legitimate means of quality check in scientific publication than it would be in any other form of publication. Imagine if all journalists had to have their writing approved by peer review. We'd all cry "censorship", and that's all peer review amounts to. It is one of the impediments against hard science, not proof of science.

And is there anyone in your cult actually capable of refuting the scientific or methodological arguments being made here, or do you kids have nothing but the intellectually cowardly fallacies to offer?

We keep making points on the actual issue...along with whatever side points we offer...and you guys never address them.

Has anyone on this list, other than myself, read the IPCC reports in full? Or at least the detailed summaries, outside of quips repeated in soundbites by Liberal politicians?

Here's another one for you:

Are you aware that NOAA's own numbers say we're in our fourth year of global cooling? Why are they not mentioning this? Why did they refer to the last three years of cooling only as "one of the ten hottest years on record", instead of as "the nth year in a row of accelerating decline in temperature"?

Why do they only project out trendlines that go in the direction that makes them the big bucks? If they were do to that now, they'd be predicting an ice age (for the third time in the past 114 years), why are they not?

Here, check out NOAA's global mean surface temperature data for the past 11 years, I'll throw one together here:

Wait...the system doesn't allow me to attach an image? Argh...hang on.



There. Notice the current trend, clearly downward. In fact, if you look at the entire data set (available here ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ano...1-2000mean.dat ) you will notice that the only times you get three years going against the existing trend, it ends up being a complete reversal of trends, altogether.

As I said, don't take my word for it, use NOAA's data set, import it into Excel or whatever, and see for yourself. I use an 11 year moving average trendline here: 4th Year of Global Cooling, NOAA Says But Now You Know and still the trend is now downward. And you can see (second chart) that this process ALWAYS follows what becomes the real trend. In other words, the line is always LATE in recognizing a reversal.

We are in a cooling phase...and the pseudoscientists were saying we were in an upward trend, caused by humans, that could only be stopped with a huge reversal of our pollutive ways. Did we suddenly stop polluting?

Actually answer some POINTS. I feel bad for your side, as you argue against it by your evasion of any actual assertions made by your opposition.
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Old 28-09-09, 19:29   #89
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Originally Posted by kazvorpal View Post
As has been noted on here by some of the argumentum ad hominem team, I'm a consultant, not employed as a scientist. Which makes my greater knowledge of scientific methodology
amazing that someone who believes that...

can use a phrase like:
Quote:
Originally Posted by kazvorpal View Post
The rules of science ...


Clearly a faux-scientist... the kind that uses a moving average, long enough (why 11 years, NOAA use 5. Why is that wrong? what's your confidence limits using 11? Go on, actually do some Science, not just faux-science... you must have done some since highschool) to prove what ever he wants. In this case, I suspect, some weird kind of anti-big government, libertarian thing who sees Climate Change (probably along with the UN, universal health care and warning labels on food) as leading to Socialism...

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Old 28-09-09, 19:48   #90
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Default Re: Climate change is a religious belief

Quote:
Originally Posted by kazvorpal View Post
As has been noted on here by some of the argumentum ad hominem team, I'm a consultant, not employed as a scientist. Which makes my greater knowledge of scientific methodology that much more embarrassing for the pseudoscientists.

And I've already noted that peer review is no more a legitimate means of quality check in scientific publication than it would be in any other form of publication. Imagine if all journalists had to have their writing approved by peer review. We'd all cry "censorship", and that's all peer review amounts to. It is one of the impediments against hard science, not proof of science.

And is there anyone in your cult actually capable of refuting the scientific or methodological arguments being made here, or do you kids have nothing but the intellectually cowardly fallacies to offer?

We keep making points on the actual issue...along with whatever side points we offer...and you guys never address them.

Has anyone on this list, other than myself, read the IPCC reports in full? Or at least the detailed summaries, outside of quips repeated in soundbites by Liberal politicians?

Here's another one for you:

Are you aware that NOAA's own numbers say we're in our fourth year of global cooling? Why are they not mentioning this? Why did they refer to the last three years of cooling only as "one of the ten hottest years on record", instead of as "the nth year in a row of accelerating decline in temperature"?

Why do they only project out trendlines that go in the direction that makes them the big bucks? If they were do to that now, they'd be predicting an ice age (for the third time in the past 114 years), why are they not?

Here, check out NOAA's global mean surface temperature data for the past 11 years, I'll throw one together here:

Wait...the system doesn't allow me to attach an image? Argh...hang on.



There. Notice the current trend, clearly downward. In fact, if you look at the entire data set (available here ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ano...1-2000mean.dat ) you will notice that the only times you get three years going against the existing trend, it ends up being a complete reversal of trends, altogether.

As I said, don't take my word for it, use NOAA's data set, import it into Excel or whatever, and see for yourself. I use an 11 year moving average trendline here: 4th Year of Global Cooling, NOAA Says But Now You Know and still the trend is now downward. And you can see (second chart) that this process ALWAYS follows what becomes the real trend. In other words, the line is always LATE in recognizing a reversal.

We are in a cooling phase...and the pseudoscientists were saying we were in an upward trend, caused by humans, that could only be stopped with a huge reversal of our pollutive ways. Did we suddenly stop polluting?

Actually answer some POINTS. I feel bad for your side, as you argue against it by your evasion of any actual assertions made by your opposition.
Not only are you full of shit, you're also a cunt . No, I'm not going to back up my claims with evidence, I'm going to let you do it by continuing to post, cunt .
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